WTXS51 PGTW 222100 WARNING ATCG MIL 13S SIO 220222201249 2022022218 13S EMNATI 014 01 220 10 SATL 060 T000 216S 0488E 075 R064 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 135 SW QD 080 NW QD T012 231S 0473E 065 R064 000 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 249S 0454E 055 R050 020 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 080 NW QD T036 265S 0439E 050 R050 030 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 090 NW QD T048 283S 0430E 050 R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 100 NW QD T072 315S 0433E 045 R034 160 NE QD 200 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD AMP 048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 072HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (EMNATI) WARNING NR 014 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (EMNATI) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 21.6S 48.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.6S 48.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 23.1S 47.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 24.9S 45.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 26.5S 43.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 28.3S 43.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 31.5S 43.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 22.0S 48.4E. 22FEB22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (EMNATI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 178 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z AND 232100Z. // 1322021418 145S 793E 20 1322021500 146S 773E 20 1322021506 144S 755E 20 1322021512 143S 738E 25 1322021518 142S 720E 30 1322021600 141S 708E 30 1322021606 140S 701E 30 1322021612 140S 692E 30 1322021618 141S 684E 35 1322021700 141S 674E 45 1322021706 140S 658E 50 1322021706 140S 658E 50 1322021712 139S 645E 55 1322021712 139S 645E 55 1322021718 137S 637E 50 1322021718 137S 637E 50 1322021800 137S 633E 55 1322021800 137S 633E 55 1322021806 139S 623E 65 1322021806 139S 623E 65 1322021806 139S 623E 65 1322021812 146S 615E 65 1322021812 146S 615E 65 1322021812 146S 615E 65 1322021818 153S 606E 65 1322021818 153S 606E 65 1322021818 153S 606E 65 1322021900 155S 597E 65 1322021900 155S 597E 65 1322021900 155S 597E 65 1322021906 160S 588E 70 1322021906 160S 588E 70 1322021906 160S 588E 70 1322021912 163S 581E 70 1322021912 163S 581E 70 1322021912 163S 581E 70 1322021918 167S 572E 90 1322021918 167S 572E 90 1322021918 167S 572E 90 1322022000 171S 566E 105 1322022000 171S 566E 105 1322022000 171S 566E 105 1322022006 172S 559E 105 1322022006 172S 559E 105 1322022006 172S 559E 105 1322022012 176S 552E 115 1322022012 176S 552E 115 1322022012 176S 552E 115 1322022018 176S 546E 110 1322022018 176S 546E 110 1322022018 176S 546E 110 1322022100 176S 540E 105 1322022100 176S 540E 105 1322022100 176S 540E 105 1322022106 179S 535E 100 1322022106 179S 535E 100 1322022106 179S 535E 100 1322022112 182S 527E 100 1322022112 182S 527E 100 1322022112 182S 527E 100 1322022118 185S 521E 95 1322022118 185S 521E 95 1322022118 185S 521E 95 1322022200 191S 512E 90 1322022200 191S 512E 90 1322022200 191S 512E 90 1322022206 198S 503E 80 1322022206 198S 503E 80 1322022206 198S 503E 80 1322022212 208S 495E 75 1322022212 208S 495E 75 1322022212 208S 495E 75 1322022218 216S 488E 75 1322022218 216S 488E 75 1322022218 216S 488E 75 NNNN