ALERT ATCF MIL 97X XXX 220216000000 2022021600 -14.8 92.1 -20.7 88.2 220 -15.5 91.7 160300 2202160300 2 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT // WTXS22 PGTW 160300 REF/B/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/152251Z FEB 22// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 152300)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 220 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.8S 92.1E TO 20.7S 88.2E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 160230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.5S 91.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 170300Z. 4. SEE REF B FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 14.2S 72.0E // 9722021412 146S 983E 20 9722021418 145S 968E 25 9722021500 144S 955E 25 9722021506 145S 939E 25 9722021512 148S 932E 30 9722021518 151S 924E 30 9722021600 155S 917E 30 NNNN