WTXS51 PGTW 031500 WARNING ATCG MIL 08S SIO 220203135809 2022020312 08S BATSIRAI 016 01 255 04 SATL 010 T000 192S 0549E 115 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 150 SW QD 100 NW QD T012 193S 0537E 110 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 180 SE QD 180 SW QD 170 NW QD T024 195S 0524E 105 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 190 SE QD 190 SW QD 180 NW QD T036 198S 0506E 100 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 200 SE QD 190 SW QD 180 NW QD T048 203S 0487E 085 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW QD 150 NW QD T072 216S 0436E 045 R034 140 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 080 NW QD T096 229S 0409E 055 R050 030 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 200 SE QD 190 SW QD 130 NW QD T120 247S 0402E 050 R034 210 NE QD 220 SE QD 200 SW QD 170 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (BATSIRAI) WARNING NR 016 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (BATSIRAI) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z --- NEAR 19.2S 54.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S 54.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 19.3S 53.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 19.5S 52.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 19.8S 50.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 20.3S 48.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 21.6S 43.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 22.9S 40.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 24.7S 40.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 031500Z POSITION NEAR 19.2S 54.6E. 03FEB22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (BATSIRAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 81 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 52 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z AND 041500Z.// 0822012318 83S 883E 20 0822012400 88S 890E 20 0822012406 93S 896E 20 0822012412 98S 898E 20 0822012418 103S 901E 25 0822012500 110S 904E 25 0822012506 115S 907E 20 0822012512 122S 909E 20 0822012518 132S 906E 20 0822012600 142S 896E 25 0822012606 144S 881E 30 0822012612 150S 866E 30 0822012618 157S 852E 30 0822012700 164S 837E 35 0822012706 169S 819E 45 0822012712 180S 796E 90 0822012712 180S 796E 90 0822012712 180S 796E 90 0822012718 185S 777E 65 0822012718 185S 777E 65 0822012800 184S 761E 50 0822012800 184S 761E 50 0822012806 183S 747E 45 0822012812 183S 734E 45 0822012818 183S 724E 50 0822012900 182S 716E 55 0822012900 182S 716E 55 0822012906 181S 707E 65 0822012906 181S 707E 65 0822012906 181S 707E 65 0822012912 180S 699E 70 0822012912 180S 699E 70 0822012912 180S 699E 70 0822012918 178S 691E 80 0822012918 178S 691E 80 0822012918 178S 691E 80 0822013000 175S 681E 95 0822013000 175S 681E 95 0822013000 175S 681E 95 0822013006 171S 671E 100 0822013006 171S 671E 100 0822013006 171S 671E 100 0822013012 167S 661E 100 0822013012 167S 661E 100 0822013012 167S 661E 100 0822013018 165S 652E 100 0822013018 165S 652E 100 0822013018 165S 652E 100 0822013100 163S 646E 95 0822013100 163S 646E 95 0822013100 163S 646E 95 0822013106 159S 638E 85 0822013106 159S 638E 85 0822013106 159S 638E 85 0822013112 159S 632E 80 0822013112 159S 632E 80 0822013112 159S 632E 80 0822013118 160S 629E 75 0822013118 160S 629E 75 0822013118 160S 629E 75 0822020100 164S 623E 80 0822020100 164S 623E 80 0822020100 164S 623E 80 0822020106 168S 610E 85 0822020106 168S 610E 85 0822020106 168S 610E 85 0822020112 172S 601E 90 0822020112 172S 601E 90 0822020112 172S 601E 90 0822020118 175S 591E 95 0822020118 175S 591E 95 0822020118 175S 591E 95 0822020200 181S 583E 120 0822020200 181S 583E 120 0822020200 181S 583E 120 0822020206 185S 576E 125 0822020206 185S 576E 125 0822020206 185S 576E 125 0822020212 188S 568E 125 0822020212 188S 568E 125 0822020212 188S 568E 125 0822020218 189S 562E 120 0822020218 189S 562E 120 0822020218 189S 562E 120 0822020300 190S 557E 115 0822020300 190S 557E 115 0822020300 190S 557E 115 0822020306 191S 553E 115 0822020306 191S 553E 115 0822020306 191S 553E 115 0822020312 192S 549E 115 0822020312 192S 549E 115 0822020312 192S 549E 115 NNNN