WTXS51 PGTW 310300 WARNING ATCG MIL 08S SIO 220131020002 2022013100 08S BATSIRAI 009 01 280 07 SATL 030 T000 164S 0645E 095 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 085 SE QD 090 SW QD 085 NW QD T012 163S 0630E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD T024 167S 0615E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 130 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 173S 0596E 085 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 140 SE QD 150 SW QD 090 NW QD T048 181S 0579E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD 170 SW QD 110 NW QD T072 191S 0553E 105 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 170 SE QD 160 SW QD 140 NW QD T096 192S 0531E 105 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 160 SW QD 130 NW QD T120 201S 0509E 090 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 120 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (BATSIRAI) WARNING NR 009 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (BATSIRAI) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 16.4S 64.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S 64.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.3S 63.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 16.7S 61.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 17.3S 59.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.1S 57.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 19.1S 55.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 19.2S 53.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 20.1S 50.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 16.4S 64.1E. 31JAN22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (BATSIRAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 466 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 36 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z AND 010300Z. // 0822012318 83S 883E 20 0822012400 88S 890E 20 0822012406 93S 896E 20 0822012412 98S 898E 20 0822012418 103S 901E 25 0822012500 110S 904E 25 0822012506 115S 907E 20 0822012512 122S 909E 20 0822012518 132S 906E 20 0822012600 142S 896E 25 0822012606 144S 881E 30 0822012612 150S 866E 30 0822012618 157S 852E 30 0822012700 164S 837E 35 0822012706 169S 819E 45 0822012712 180S 796E 90 0822012712 180S 796E 90 0822012712 180S 796E 90 0822012718 185S 777E 65 0822012718 185S 777E 65 0822012800 184S 761E 50 0822012800 184S 761E 50 0822012806 183S 747E 45 0822012812 183S 734E 45 0822012818 183S 724E 50 0822012900 182S 716E 55 0822012900 182S 716E 55 0822012906 181S 707E 65 0822012906 181S 707E 65 0822012906 181S 707E 65 0822012912 180S 699E 70 0822012912 180S 699E 70 0822012912 180S 699E 70 0822012918 178S 691E 80 0822012918 178S 691E 80 0822012918 178S 691E 80 0822013000 175S 681E 95 0822013000 175S 681E 95 0822013000 175S 681E 95 0822013006 171S 671E 100 0822013006 171S 671E 100 0822013006 171S 671E 100 0822013012 167S 661E 100 0822013012 167S 661E 100 0822013012 167S 661E 100 0822013018 165S 652E 100 0822013018 165S 652E 100 0822013018 165S 652E 100 0822013100 164S 645E 95 0822013100 164S 645E 95 0822013100 164S 645E 95 NNNN