ALERT ATCF MIL 03X XXX 210929120000 2021092912 22.4 71.7 23.4 66.7 100 22.6 71.4 291730 2109291721 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTIO21 PGTW 291730 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 22.4N 71.7E TO 23.4N 66.7E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 291200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 71.4E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 301730Z. // 0321092312 175N 947E 15 0321092318 177N 940E 20 0321092400 180N 934E 20 0321092406 185N 921E 35 0321092412 183N 910E 35 0321092418 183N 903E 35 0321092500 182N 897E 35 0321092506 182N 893E 35 0321092512 182N 888E 40 0321092518 183N 882E 40 0321092600 184N 871E 40 0321092606 184N 853E 40 0321092612 184N 843E 40 0321092618 180N 833E 35 0321092700 180N 821E 30 0321092706 182N 811E 25 0321092712 191N 801E 25 0321092718 195N 790E 20 0321092800 198N 779E 20 0321092806 200N 772E 20 0321092812 203N 767E 20 0321092818 208N 755E 20 0321092900 215N 741E 20 0321092906 221N 726E 25 0321092912 226N 714E 25 NNNN