ALERT ATCF MIL 95X XXX 210912060000 2021091206 19.4 88.2 20.7 85.5 120 19.4 88.1 120700 2109120651 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTIO21 PGTW 120700 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.4N 88.2E TO 20.7N 85.5E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 120600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 88.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 130700Z. // 9521091012 160N 883E 25 9521091018 162N 890E 25 9521091100 167N 898E 25 9521091106 176N 900E 25 9521091112 188N 894E 25 9521091118 191N 892E 25 9521091200 192N 885E 25 9521091206 194N 881E 30 NNNN